NFC Playoff Picture updated 12/09/2025

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The Chargers' win over the Eagles on Monday night kept both the AFC West and the NFC East races competitive for at least another week. We take a look at the playoff picture below, with standings updated through Monday Night Football in Week 14:

AFC Playoff Picture

DIVISION LEADERS
1. Broncos (11-2) If they win out, they're the No. 1 seed in the AFC, as they own the tiebreaker over the Patriots.
2. Patriots (11-2) Their lead in the AFC East looks safe, but to earn the No. 1 seed they have to hope the Broncos lose a game.
3. Jaguars (9-4) After beating the Colts, they're the clear favorites in the AFC South.
4. Steelers (7-6) Got their biggest win of the season in Baltimore.
WILD CARDS
5. Chargers (9-4) First in the wild card race thanks to a better AFC record than the Bills.
6. Bills (9-4) Probably won't catch the Patriots in the AFC East, but in great shape for a wild card.
7. Texans (8-5) Own the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Colts.
OUTSIDE LOOKING IN
8. Colts (8-5) Losing Daniel Jones could be devastating to their playoff chances.
9. Ravens (6-7) Losing at home to the Steelers was costly.
10. Chiefs (6-7) Probably can't make the playoffs even if they run the table.
11. Dolphins (6-7) Best of the bad teams in the AFC.
12. Bengals (4-9) Clinched a losing record with their loss in Buffalo.
13. Jets (3-10) Mathematically eliminated.
14. Browns (3-10) Mathematically eliminated.
15. Raiders (2-11) Mathematically eliminated.
16. Titans (2-11) Mathematically eliminated.

NFC Playoff Picture

DIVISION LEADERS
1. Rams (10-3) Own the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Seahawks in the NFC West.
2. Packers (9-3-1) Big win over the Bears.
3. Eagles (8-5) Defending champions are on a three-game losing streak but still have a 1.5-game lead over the Cowboys in the NFC East.
4. Buccaneers (7-6) Still lead the NFC South thanks to the common games tiebreaker with the Panthers.
WILD CARDS
5. Seahawks (10-3) Need to win their rematch with the Rams on December 18.
6. 49ers (9-4) Despite a lot of injuries, they remain in playoff position.
7. Bears (9-4) Big loss to the Packers.
OUTSIDE LOOKING IN
8. Lions (8-5) Big win over the Cowboys
9. Panthers (7-6) Kept hope alive by beating the Rams.
10. Cowboys (6-6-1) They probably need to run the table, and even then they may not make the playoffs.
11. Vikings (5-8) Last place in the NFC North.
12. Falcons (4-9) Mathematically eliminated.
13. Cardinals (3-10) Mathematically eliminated.
14. Saints (3-10) Mathematically eliminated.
15. Commanders (3-10) Mathematically eliminated.
16. Giants (2-11) Mathematically eliminated.
 
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Buffalo Bills
-118
-1
(-105)
O 49.5
(-108)
newenglandpatriots.png
New England Patriots
-105
+1
(-109)
U 49.5
(-108)
Moneyline Movements: 13
Spread Movements: 2
Total Points Movements: None
William Hill Sportsbook Edge
+3.12%
Buffalo Bills Win Probability: 52.83%
New England Patriots Win Probability: 50.50%
DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders
 
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Green Bay Packers
-135
-2 1/2
O 42.5
denverbroncos.png
Denver Broncos
+119
+2 1/2
U 42.5
Moneyline Movements: 11
Spread Movements: None
Total Points Movements: 3
William Hill Sportsbook Edge
+3.11%
Green Bay Packers Win Probability: 57.45%
Denver Broncos Win Probability: 45.66%
57.45%
45.66%
DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders
 
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Las Vegas Raiders
+625
+11
O 38.5
philadelphiaeagles.png
Philadelphia Eagles
-700
-11
U 38.5
Moneyline Movements: 4
Spread Movements: 2
Total Points Movements: None
William Hill Sportsbook Sportsbook Edge
+3.84%
Las Vegas Raiders Win Probability: 16.95%
Philadelphia Eagles Win Probability: 86.89%
16.95%
86.89%
DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders
 
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Indianapolis Colts
+750
+13.5
O 42.5
seattleseahawks.png
Seattle Seahawks
-1000
-13.5
U 42.5
Moneyline Movements: 26
Spread Movements: 4
Total Points Movements: 2
William Hill Sportsbook Edge
+5.35%
Indianapolis Colts Win Probability: 14.16%
Seattle Seahawks Win Probability: 91.00%
DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders
 
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New York Jets
+560
+12
O 41 1/2
jacksonvillejaguars.png
Jacksonville Jaguars
-700
-12
U 41 1/2
Moneyline Movements: 8
Spread Movements:2
Total Points Movements: None
William Hill Sportsbook Edge
+3.21%
New York Jets Win Probability: 15.02%
Jacksonville Jaguars Win Probability: 88.89%
DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders
 
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Cleveland Browns
+330
+7.5
O 40
chicagobears.png
Chicago Bears
-400
-7.5
U 40
Moneyline Movements: 8
Spread Movements: None
Total Points Movements:3
Sportsbook Edge
+3.92%
Cleveland Browns Win Probability: 25.13%
Chicago Bears Win Probability: 78.59%
25.13%
78.59%
 

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